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[商业新闻] 2015-06-04&06-06 希腊债务违约风险继续升温

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[商业新闻] 2015-06-04&06-06 希腊债务违约风险继续升温

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Greece edges closer to default   

Athens risks default or bankruptcy within weeks if there is no deal on pension and labor reform. Merk Investments' Axel Merk explains.


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本帖最后由 xingxingcamille 于 2015-6-9 06:53 编辑

HOMEWORK(标蓝处求教高手)

Greece and its creditors have been locked in talks for monthstrying to negotiate a deal on pension and labor reform. But with no deal inside,Athens risksdefault or bankruptcy within weeks. For more on Greece’s predicament, I’m joined by Axel Merkpresident and chief investment officer of Merk investment. Axel, thanks so muchfor being with us. Um, you were coming right down to the wire. It has been thesame accusations going back and forth and Greece played hardball up to theend. Is Europe gonna blink?



Well, who is blinking? Yeah,of course everybody is playing to their domestic audience. And what is that toblink about? At this stage, all the money has been flowing, and so there is noblinking. And in fact, we don’t know exactly how much cash Greece has andtherefore there is very little that the creditors can do at this stage. But theassets are a theater and right now the ball is in Greece’s court. And we’ll see, butI don’t think anybody is gonna blink. This is gonna go down to the wire.

Does that mean that we willsee a bankruptcy or defaults?

Well, yes. The question is well of course, I mean, it’s a clearly X situation as unsustainable. It’s quite likely the payment at the end of this week will be made although even there,there is a closet IMF can allow them to pay this at the end of this month. But yes,there is also this small payment this week will be made. Ultimately of course thequestion is who has what to win and to lose. And for the politicians, they wantto keep their job. That’s more important for them than to…than whether theymake the payment or not. And so, yes, Tsipras, the prime minister in Greece is talking badly about the rest of Europe and the resignation is well at home.

Well, they want to keeptheir jobs, but you know anyone who said for Greece acknowledges the fact thatthe economic situation is unsustainable, and there needs to be a plan forgrowth. How does this play out? I mean we can’t keep going on the way we are. Whyhaven’t the two sides been able to come to some sort of agreement?

Well, because obviouslypolitically, they are completely opposed from one and another, and I mean theword in Greeceis that “Hey, we voted that we don’t have to pay all our bills. So what are you complaining about? That’s supposed to be democracy. Of course that’s not howthe world works. But that resignation is well at home. Now for the rest of Europe, the question is: do they give them a loan so thatthey can pay back that or do they default? So either way, I mean, Europe has made all these payments. And so Europe is not gonna get all its money back, and yet itcan give them a bridge loan so they can push the can on the road. Ultimatelywhat we need is real reforming Greece.That doesn’t appear to be happening and that’s why the rest of Europe, Schäuble, the German finance is taking a lead. It’sjust extremely frustrated. But then again we do have a government in Greece that is not about to turn Greece into Germany. As we got a live resultreality, there is no simple solution yet. Somebody is gonna lose money and yeswe can kick the can on the road. That’s the most likely scenario as it’s alwaysbeing. But there is no certainty of that. And we are convinced of course, rightnow the debts that’s all held by the major institutions no longer by the banksin the rest of the Europe. And so it is a political problem much more thananything else.
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HOMEWORK

Greece and its creditors have been locked in talks for months trying to negotiate a deal on pension and labor reform but with no deal inside. Athens risks default or bankruptcy within weeks. For more on Greece’s [] I’m joined by Axel Merk president and chief investment officer of Merk investment. Axel, thanks so much for being with us. um, you know we are coming right down to [wild],it has been the same accusations going back and forth and Greece plan [] to the end.[is you] gonna blink? Who is blinking? Of course everybody is playing to the domestic audience. what is that to blink about.at this stage, all the money has been flowing, and so there is no blinking, and in fact, we don’t know exactly how much cash Greece has and therefore there is very little[]that the creditors can do at the stage. But the Athens say [] right now[]in Greece’s court. We’ll see but I don’t think anybody is gonna blink. this is gonna go down to the wild. does that mean that we will see a bankruptcy or defaults? well,yes,the question is well of course.i mean,it’s a clearly [] situation as unsustainable.it’s quite likely the payment at the end of this week will be made although even there is a closet [] allow them to pay this at the end of this month.but there is also [ ]small payment this week will be made automatically of course ,the question is who has what to win and to lose,for the politicians,they want their job,that’s more importmant for them than whether they make the payment or not.so []the prime minister in Greece is talking badly about the rest of europe,but the resignation is well at home.they want to keep their jobs,but anyone who []for Greece acknowledges the fact that economic situation is unsustainable and their needs to be a plan for growth.how does this play out? I mean we cann’t keeping going on the way we are?why have the two sides been able to come to some sort of agreement.because obviously politically,they are completely opposed from one and another.and I mean the word in Greece has []we don’t have to pay all our bills.so what are complaining about?that’s so supposed to be democracy.of course that but the resignation is well at home.for the rest of the europe,thequestion is that do they give them a loan,so that they can pay back that or do they default.so either way,I mean,Europe has made all  these payments.and[] you are not gonna get all the money back,and they can give them a bridge loan so they can push the candle on the road,automatically what we need is re-reforming Greece that doesn’t appear to be happening and that’s why the rest of Europe[] finance and taking a lead;it’s just extremely frustrated,but then again we do have a government in Greece that is not about to turn Greece into Germany.as we got a live result reality,there is no simple solution yet.somebody is gonna lose money and yes we can kick the candle on the road.that’s the most likely scenario as it’s always being.but there is no certainty of that,and [] of course,right now the debts that held by the major institutions no longer by the banks in the rest of the Europe.so it is a political problem much more than anything else.
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[Homework]2015-06-04&06-06 希腊债务违约风险继续升温

Greece and its creditors have been locked in talks for months trying to negotiate a deal on pension and labor reform, but with no deal in sight, Athens risks default or bankruptcy within weeks, for more on Greece's predicament, I'm joined by Axel Merk, president and chief investment officer of Merk Investment, Axel thanks so much for being with us, you know we are coming right down to the wire, it has been the same accusations going back and forth, and Greece playing hard ball up to the end, is Europe going to blink?
Well who is blinking of course, everybody is playing to their domestic audience, and what is there to blink about, at this stage all the money has been flowing, and so there is no blinking, and in fact we don't know exactly how much cash Greece has, and therefore there is very little that the creditors can do at this stage, but the * is a theatre, and right now the ball is in Greece's court and we will see, but I don't think anybody is going to blink, this is going to go down to the wire.
Does that mean that we will see a bankruptcy or default?
Well yes, the question is when of course, i mean clearly Greece's situation is unsustainable, it's quite likely the payment at the end of this week will be made although even there is clause the IMF can allow them to pay at the end of the month, but yes the small payment this week will be made, ultimately of course the question is who has what to win and to lose, and for the politicians it's they want to keep their job, that's more important for them than whether they make the payment or not, and so yes * the prime minister in Greece is talking badly about the rest of Europe and that resonates well at home.
Well they want to keep their jobs but you know anyone who's set foot in Greece acknowledges the fact that the economic situation is unsustainable, and there needs to be a plan for growth, how does this play out, i mean we can't keep going on the way we are, why haven't the two sides been able to come to some sort of agreement?
Well because obviously politically they are completely opposed to one another, and that means the word in Greece is that we voted that, we don't have to pay our bills, so what are you complaining about? that's supposed to be democracy, of course that's how the world works, but that resonates very well at home, now for the rest of Europe the question is do they give them a loan so that they can pay back debt or do they default? and so either way I mean Europe has made all these payments, so Europe is not going to get all its money back and yes they can give them a bridge loan so they can push the can on the road, ultimately what we need is real reform in Greece that doesn't appear to be happening, and that's why the rest of Europe * German finance have taken the lead, it's just extremely frustrated, but then again we do a government in Greece that is not about to turn Greece into Germany, and so we've got to live with those realities, there is no simple solution here, somebody is going to lose money and yes we can keep the can on the road, that's the most likely scenario as it's always been, but there is no certain of that, and we're convinced of course right now the debt is all held by the major institutions, no longer by the banks and the rest of Europe, and so it is a political problem much more than anything else.
                                                   
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Greece and its creditors have been locked in talks for months, trying to negotiate the deal, on pension and labor reform. But there was no deal in sight. Athen risks default or bankruptcy within weeks. For more and Greek’s predicament, I’m joined by Acsong Merk, president and chief investment officer of Merk investments. Acsong thanks for being with us, you are coming up right down to the wire. It has been the same accusations going back and forth and Greece played hardball up to the end. Is Europe going to blink? Well, who is blinking here? Of course everybody’s playing to the domestic audience. And what is that to the blink about that this data of money has flowing and so there is no blinking. So in fact we don’t know exactly how much cash Greece has and therefore there is little that the creditor can do at this stage. But there is a theatre and right now the ball is in Greece’s court. And we’ll see but I don’t think anybody is going to blink and as he is gonna go down to the wire.
Did that mean we’ll see bankruptcy or defaults. Yes, the question is when of course. I mean, it’s clearly the Greece’s situation is unsustainable and it’s quite likely the payment at the end of this week will be made. Although, even there is a clause that IFA can allow them to pay at the end of the month. But yes, the odds are that the small payments this week will be made. Ultimately of course, the question is who has what to win and to lose. And for the politicians, it’s that they want to keep their jobs. That’s more important for them than to, than whether to make the payment or not. So, yes, the chief prizes the prime minister in Greece is talking badly but rest of Europe that they can’t resonate it at home. Well, while they want to keep their jobs, but you know anyone who step foot in Greece, acknowledges the fact that the economic situation is unsustainable. Aren’t there needs to be a plan for growth? How does this play out? I mean we can’t keep going on the way we are, and why have the 2 sides been able to come to some sort of agreement? Publicly, because there is obviously and politically they are completely opposed from one another, and I mean, the word in Greece is that, hey, we voted we don’t have to pay out our bills so what’s you complaining about. That’s sort of supposed to be democracy. Of course, that’s not how does the world work. But that resonates very well at home.
Now for the rest of the Europe, the question is, do they give them the loan, so that they can pay back the debt or do they default. So, either way, I mean, Europe has made all this payments, and be sure Europe is not going to get all this money back and yesterday they can give them the bridge loans, so they can push the countdown on the road.
Ultimately, what we need is real reform in Greece, that doesn’t appear to be happening, and that’s why the rest of Europe, sure, but the German finance is taking the lead, is just extremely frustrated. But then again we do have a government in Greece that is not about to turn Greece into Germany. So we get a little leave without realities. There is little simple solution yet. Somebody is going to lose money and yes, we can kick the countdown on the road. That’s the most likely scenario as it has always been. But there is no certainty of that. And very conversely of course, right now the debit is all held by the major institutions, no longer by the banks in the rest of Europe, so it is a political problem much more than anything else.
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