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[商业新闻] 2016-06-01&06-03 美国房地产市场面临又一场崩溃

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[商业新闻] 2016-06-01&06-03 美国房地产市场面临又一场崩溃

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The housing market is suddenly hot again   

Zillow CEO: 'Housing is better when it's boring'.Let's get the bad news out of the way first. It doesn't feel like the U.S. economy is firing on all cylinders.


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Housing is slowing a little bit, but that’s ok, we are basically returning to a more normal housing market, and housing is better when it’s boring or entering boring and that’s pretty good actually.
Do you fell like buyers are a little bit concerned? Even though mortgage rates are still at historic lows, employment rate seems to be getting better, you would think all of these factors are actually pretty good for buying a house?
What’s happened is people have reset their expectations about what is reasonable long-term housing appreciation. They realize now that you should really only buy a house if you are going to be in it for three or more years, so no longer assume that housing is just a fantastic investment. Sometimes it is. Sometimes it isn’t. Now you have people buying based on whether they are really going to love the home and live there for a long time, rather than purely speculated.
Do you think that’s somewhat a result of shellshock from the housing bubble and the burst of housing bubble?
It’s absolutely the result of shellshock from the housing bubble. So what happened during the upswing was about seven million people bought homes that shouldn’t and then seven million people on the way down were foreclosed upon. And now here we are kind of the new steady stay and those people have become renters and unfortunately, there wasn’t new rental supply created because it takes many years for new buildings to be built. As a result, rents have appreciated rapidly ‘cause there is all this rental demand and not enough for rental supply. And comparatively speaking, buying looks more attractive especially because there are very low mortgage rates. But the best piece of advice for a home-buyer when thinking about whether to buy or rent, is to evaluate how long they are going to live in the home. If you are going to be in the home for more than two years, nationally, you are better-off buying than renting. But there are wide regional differences. So in Manhattan for example, you have to be in a home for more than five years for it makes sense to buy rather than rent. In Detroit, it’s only about six months.
Is there anything to you that indicates either we are going to see more home buying or less home buying going forward, what do you pay attention to?
We pay attention to housing starts and multi-family construction starts ‘cause that’s where new inventory comes from. Those happened pretty low. It takes literally years for shovels to be in the ground, building new buildings or building new homes and finally we are starting to see that, come online. Surprisingly, we don’t actually forecast much impact from the Fed raising rates on home-purchase activity. As leading indicator of demand, we look at pre-approvals, mortgage originations and just activity on the websites. So how many people are actually just looking for real estate…
And what do you think?
That looks very, very healthy.
What’s very healthy?
Well, our traffic is up about 20% year over year. We have 125 million unique users a month. So a lot of people are very interested in real estate. But the biggest challenge now to housing is supply. So there’s just not that much inventory. People don’t list their home because there’s not enough to buy and there is no supply and then there is no listing occurs. So it’s kind of a negative cycle that only repairs itself when new supply gets built or home values increase, pulling people add up negative equity.
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[Homework]2016-06-01&06-03 美国房地产市场面临又一场崩溃

housing store is a little bit,but it's ok ,we are basically returning into a more normal market, and housing is better one than boring, we entering a boring, I think it'e pretty good. Do you think buyers has been a little concerned ever though has storage employees is getting all of thoes factors are pretty good for buying a house? what's happened is people reset their expectation about what is reasonable long term appreciation they realize now that you should only buy a house if you are gonna be in it three or more years, so no longer assume that housing interest is a fantastic investment, sometimes it is ,sometime it isn't now you get people buying based on whether they are really gonna love the home or they will live in it for a long time rather than curelly spect. Do you think that someone are result of the housing bubble and burst housing bubble.It's absolutely. there also bubble
This post was generated by put listening repetition system,  Check the original dictation thread!
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HOMEWORK

Housing is slowing a little bit, but that’s ok, we are basically returning to a more normal housing market, and housing is better when it’s boring or entering boring and that’s pretty good actually.

Do you feel like buyers are a little bit concerned? Even though mortgage rates are still at historic lows, employment rate seems to be getting better, you would think all of these factors are actually pretty good for buying a house?

What’s happened is people have reset their expectations about what is reasonable long-term housing appreciation. They realize now that you should really only buy a house if you are going to be in it for three or more years, so no longer assume that housing is just a fantastic investment. Sometimes it is. Sometimes it isn’t. Now you have people buying based on whether they are really gonna love the home and live there for a long time, rather than purely speculated.

Do you think there’s somewhat a result of shellshock from the housing bubble and the burst of housing bubble?

It’s absolutely the result of shellshock from the housing bubble. So what happened during the upswing was about seven million people bought homes that shouldn’t and then seven million people on the way down were foreclosed upon. And now here we are kind of the new steady stay and those people have become renters and unfortunately, there wasn’t new rental supply created because it takes many years for new buildings to be built. As a result, rents have appreciated rapidly ‘cause there is all this rental demand and not enough for rental supply. And comparatively speaking, buying looks more attractive especially because there are very low mortgage rates. But the best piece of advice for a home-buyer when thinking about whether to buy or rent, is to evaluate how long they are gonna live in the home. If you are gonna
be in the home for more than two years, nationally, you are better-off buying than renting. But there are wide regional differences. So in Manhattan for example, you have to be in a home for more than five years for it makes sense to buy rather than rent. In Detroit, it’s only about six months.
Is there anything to you that indicates either we are gonna go to see more home buying or less home buying going forward, what do you pay attention to?

We pay attention to housing starts and multi-family construction starts ‘cause that’s where new inventory comes from. Those happened pretty low. It takes literally years for shovels to be in the ground, building new buildings or building new homes and finally we are starting to see that, come online. Surprisingly, we don’t actually forecast much impact from the Fed raising rates on home-purchase activity. As leading indicator of demand, we look at pre-approvals, mortgage originations and just activity on the websites. So how many people are actually just looking for real estate…

And what do you think?

That looks very, very healthy.

What’s very healthy?
Well, our traffic is up about 20% year over year. We have 125 million unique users a month. So a lot of people are very interested in real estate. But the biggest challenge now to housing is supply. So there’s just not that much inventory. People don’t list their home because there’s not enough to buy and there is no supply and then there is no listing occurs. So it’s kind of a negative cycle that only repairs itself when new supply gets built or home values increase, pulling people add up negative equity.
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[Homework]2016-06-01&06-03 美国房地产市场面临又一场崩溃

housing is slowing a little bit. but is okay. we are basically returning to a more normal housing market. and housing is better when it's boring or entering boring and that's pretty good actually. do you think the buyers are a little bit concerned even though the mortgage rates are still at historic ``` enplotment rate seems to be getting better, you would think all of these factors are actually pretty good for buying a house?
What's happened is people have reset their expectations about what is reasonable longterm housing appreciation. They realize now that you should only buy a house if you are going to be ``` for 3 or more years, so no longer assume that housing is a fantastic investment. sometimes it is, sometimes it is not. now you have ppl buying based on whether they are really going to love the home and live there for a longtime rather than purely spectulate.
do you think that is someone are result of ``` from the housing bubble, and burst of the housing bubble?
abosolutely.



This post was generated by put listening repetition system,  Check the original dictation thread!
housing is slowing a little bit, but that's ok, we are basically returning to
a more normal housing market, and housing is better when it is boring or
entering boring and that's pretty good actually.

do you feel like buyers a little bit concerning, even though mortgage rates
are still at historic lows, employement seems to be getting better, you will
think all of these factors are actually pretty good for buying a house.

what's happened is people have reset their expectations about what is
reasonable long term housing appreciaton, they realize now that you should
really buy a house if you are going to be in it for three or more years, so
no longer assume that housing is just a fantastic investment, sometimes it is,
sometimes it isn't, now you have people buying based on whether they are really
gonna love the home and live there for along time, rather than purely speculated.

do you think that there is somewhat a result of shellshock from the housing bubble
and burst of the housing bubble.

it's absolutely the result of the shellsock from the housing bubble, so what
happened during the upswing was about seven million people bought homes that
shouldn't and seven millon people on the way down were foreclosed upon. and now
here we are kind of the new steady state and those people have to become renters
and unfortunately, there wasn't new rental supply created because it take many
years for new buildings to be built, as a result, rents have appreciated rapidly
cause all these new rental demand and not enough rental supply, and comparatively
speaking, buying looks more attractive especially because there are very low
mortage rates, but the best piece of advice for a home buyer when thinking wether
to buy or rent, is to evaluate how long they are gonna live in the home, if you
can be in the home for more than two years, nationally, you are better off
buying thant renting, but there are wildly region diffenences, so in Manhattan,
for example, you have to be in home for more than five years, for it make sense
to buy rather than rent, in Detroit, it's only about six months,

is there anything to you indicates either you are going to, we are going to see
more home buying, or less home buying going forward, what do you pay attention to.

we pay attention to housing starts and multi-family construction starts, because
that's where new inventory constructure, those happened pretty low, it takes
literally years for shovels to be in the ground, building new building or
building your home, and finally  we start to see that, come online, suprisingly,
we don't actually forecast much impact from Fed raising rates on home purchase
activity, as a leading indicator of demand, we look at pre-approvals, morgage
originations, or just activities on web sites, so how many people are actually
just looking for real estate?

and what do you think?

that looks very healthy.

what's very healthy?

well, our traffic is up 20% year over year, we have 125 million unique users a
month, so a lot of people are very interesting in real estate, but the big
challenge now to the housing is supply, so there's just not that much inventory.
people don't list their home, because there is not enough to buy, and there is
no supply, and then there is no listsing to occurs, so that's a kind of
negative cycle that only repairs itself when new supply get built, or home values
increase, pulling people add up negative equity.
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